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noname2200 said:

Cheater!

I pretty much agree on everything regarding Stannis and his army, especially since it was made equally clear that the Boltons' army was not exactly cohesive or prepared itself. I have heard the interesting theory though that the letter came from Melisandre, as an attempt to goad Jon from leaving the Wall and doing his duty. I'm not completely sold, but then again Melisandre is the only other person who knows about Mance (in fact, I can see Mance keeping his mouth shut even after being captured).

As for what Dondarrion was thinking, it was probably something along the lines of "I've had more than enough already, thank you" combined with "I never asked these assholes to bring me back...and back...and back...").

I'm not sure how up to date you are on the original plan, but part of why I think the Sam/Sansa/Arya storylines don't seem to be going anywhere is that Martin originally planned to skip ahead five years after Storm of Swords, with the details of those five years getting filled in via flashbacks etc. Abandoning that plan has thrown a real wrench in the works, I think, which is how I explain Feast being such a meandering novel.

Well I knew that the series was originally going to be a trilogy... but other than that I know nothing (Poor Ygritte ).

Your explanation for the letter is interesting though, and I agree with you that Mance revealing himself was an odd move for his character. Nice thought!