TheBigFatJ on 14 February 2008
| DMeisterJ said: God 360 is falling, and Wii is rising like a rocket. PS3 is doing that whole slow and steady thing, it may hit 25% or even 30% by the end of this year. |
If you think the PS3 will hit 25%, it would basically have to pass the 360 selling 7 million more units than the 360 this year. To reach 30%, if the Wii settles around 50% this year, the PS3 would have to have the 360 outsold on a 3-to-2 installed base basis. So it would have to outsell the 360 by 15.5 million more units + a 1.5x ratio for all units the 360 sells this year. Conservatively, it would have to outsell the 360 by approximately 25 million units this year, or sell a total of 32 million units this year to reach 30%.
I'd be happy to bet you that the PS3 will not reach 25% this year. Most likely, it at least 3 million units short of 25%.
