Who here thinks that the PS3 or 360 will reach 100 million sold ????

[Avinash_Tyagi]

MikeB said:

@ Avinash_Tyagi

PS1 and 2 were market leaders, if anything its Wii that will see continued high sales

Nintendo and Sega were the market leaders when the Playstation launched.

Nintendo platforms traditionally show relatively high early adoption ratios (they discontinue their consoles while introducing a new platform at mass market entry pricing and release content appealing to the former userbase fairly quickly like Mario and Zelda games), be sure that many GameCube users bought a Wii to play the latest Mario, Zelda and Metroid games. The Wii is doing great, especially by expanding their market next to making Nintendo fans upgrade towards the Wii.

I think things will get more difficult later on as more people are becoming more interested in high definition content and technologically more advanced games and by the end of this year the bulk of Nintendo fans will own a Wii already. The Wii is a platform which has almost no overlap with the PS3, if you look at the top 20 best selling PS3 and Wii games there's no overlap there apart from Guitar Hero 3! Thus it's not weird to imagine many Wii users will also own higher specced platforms eventually.

 Wow, that was like listening to every Sony fan on this site rolled into one post

 

First off the fact that Sony knocked off nintendo proves how easy it is for a market leader to fall, like Sony with the PS3, secondly its not just GCN owners buying the Wii, its also nontraditional gamers and those non hardcore who owned a PS2 last gen PS3 and 360 however are restricted to the hardcore pool by and large, last gen those pools only netted less than 25 million for the Xbox and GCN, they will be unlikely to do that much more for the PS3 and 360 this gen, thirdly HD adoption is slow and is likely to reamain limited this generation as we have seen in survey after survey even HDTV owners have little interest in Blu-ray or HD service, not to metnion many hae their Wii's hooked up to HDTV's and still enjoy the picture quality.  As such you hoped for sales increases are very unlikely.