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I can see MS trying it but first we need to know what games Kinect 2.0 will bring to the table. In other to steal Wii's audience MS will need games that can not only appeal to same audience but sell on par with:

1) Mario Kart
2) Wii Sports
3) Smash Bros
4) 2D Mario
5) Wii Fit
6) Just Dance
7) 3D Mario

And all other major system sellers on the Wii. If MS don't launch those games and even though Wii U does not sell well I think it will be safe to say that Wii U poor sales will be only Nintendo's fault.