Official Wii U Thread!: Pokemon Rubmle U coming to Wii U

[JEMC]

DanneSandin said:

JEMC said:

DanneSandin said:

But what if both PS4 and x720 takes off, leaving Wii U in the dust? That's what I'm worried about...

I wouldn't worry to much about that.

The PS2 took off because it launched earlier than the GameCube and the Xbox, had the brand recognition and a DVD player. This new gen all consoles have about the same recognition (only exception is Xbox in Japan), both the Nextbox and PS4 will have BR and the WiiU launched earlier.

Besides, if we look at the trend of the sales and the feeling we get from them (I admit this is rather personal), is that the Nextbos will do well in the US and moderately good in Europe. The PS4 will do well in Europe and Japan and "okish" in the US where the brand has lost appeal to Msoft. WiiU is doing good/"okish" in US and Japan and bad in Europe. Since no console will dominate in all 3 markets, there's little chances of a new PS2.

Besides, now it's more common to have 2 consoles than it was before, and while there are some that have both the PS3 and Xbox360 (usually with one of them bought years after release whit a few price drops), the usual combinations are Xbox360+Wii or PS3+Wii if only because the Wii was "for the family". If Nintendo achieves to do that again, sales of 40mil are achievable.

Launching first haven't helped Nintendo much, not yet anyway. And I agree - and I think most would - that your analysis about each region seems pretty good. And I don't really think we'll see a PS2 situation, but rather a reversed Wii situation; TWO consoles taking off, leaving the third behind. I'm sure Wii U could get 40m sales, but I'm not to sure if that will warrant 3rd parties to port games to it. And if the system is crippled with regards to PS720, those ports will be pretty shitty anyways and nobody will want them... THAT'S what I'm worried about. I don't really care if Wii U sells 40m or 100m; I want good 3rd party support.

But, as Wii and PS3 in its early years have proved, console sales doesn't guarantee 3rd party support, good or bad.

What matters is if the owners of a console buy your games or not. Take for example the sales of CoD: Modern Warfare 3 since it's the most popular series and genre of this gen and compare it to the hardware (aprox)

Xbox360_ Consoles: 73.9mil # Game: 14.80mil => 20% of the owners bought the game

PS3_ Consoles: 72.3mil # Game: 12.58mil => 17.4% of the owners bought the game

Wii_ Consoles: 98.7mil # Game: 0.59mil => 0.60%  of the owners bought the game

That is the problem and that is the reason Nintendo said that wanted to cater the core games again. If we look at the numbers from Black Ops II on WiiU, the result is about 6% (2.58mil consoles and 0.15mil games). That's a big improvement but I fear that it's still not enough. They need to reach at least 10%.

After all, if Nintendo only sells 20mil consoles but the ratio fro those games are a 10%, that's still 2 million games sold that given that the ports from Nextbox and PS4 will be easier and cheaper to do, would make it an option to take into consideration for publishers.