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Conegamer on 28 January 2013
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DanneSandin said:
Conegamer said:

So the OP is now updated with averages. In addition, the table is now in alphabetical order. 

 

 

Notes:

 

  • There are 76 participants, of whom 15 predicted the PS3 to sell over or including 10 million this year.
  • This compares to only 2 users who predicted the 360 to sell over or including 10 million this year.
  • However, 32 users predicted the WiiU to sell over or including 10 million this year.
  • Only 4 users believe the Wii will sell over 4 million units this year.
  • The highest 3DS prediction is 28 million units; the same as its current LTD. 
  • 4 users predict the 3DS to sell more than 20 million units this year, with no users predicting below 10 million for the year.
  • Contrast this to the highest prediction of the Vita, which is below 9.5 million (the next highest is 8.5 million below this). So, Vita's absolute best-case is the 3DS' absolute worst-case.
  • 26 people predicted PS4 sales for the year, compared to 46 for the 720. So more people believe the 720 will arrive this year than the PS4.
  • The difference between the highest and the lowest Wii U prediction is 10.6 million, more than the highest 360 prediction
  • On average, people predicted the 3DS to outsell the Vita by 3:1. However, the most extreme example is 14:1.
  • The lowest complete set of data with all console totals added together comes to less than the Wii+DS in 2007, 2009, and is 10 million lower than in 2008.
  • Indeed, the average total sales for each person is less than 1 million above the Wii+DS in 2008.
Averages (with YoY predictions):

PS3- 9.40 (-18%)

360- 7.67 (-22%)

Wii- 2.64 (-46%)

Wii U- 9.30 (+413%)

3DS-15.66 (+12%)

PSV-5.60 (+62%)

DS-1.93 (-44%)

PSP-1.43 (-51%)

 

Total-55.92 (+7%)

 

Haha funny facts!!

I think the numbers for PS360 is too high... They will fall a lot more than people think; something I neglected to update in my predictions ^^

and btw, I can't see the 720 numbers in the OP =/

Yeah I feel as though people were perhaps being a tad too generous with the PS360 predictions; if not overall. Looking at the predicted YoY changes over the current ones...it'll take a hefty price cut in order for the systems to come close to the average.

Don't know about the 720 numbers, will try and edit the OP to see if that gets it to work.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.