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I was encouraged by your statement that you would use "known facts" in your predictions, but then a lot of it turned out to be presumption with very little analysis of numbers. It seems like you have an expectation for the market to come into line with your personal opinions. Still, interesting read. Don't take my criticisms of your analysis personally.



"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.