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I agree it will depend on if Nintendo manages to accumulate stock before those games launch. Either they've been diverting say 10% for example of all Wiis to storage and plan to ship them for the holiday period, or demand drops to sub-supply levels and picks up again when they come out, or else sales will continue as they have. Oh and then there's the possibility of a huge bump in supply right before they release the big games. Demand is still insane and supply hasn't grown that much, so I imagine they're planning something big behind the scenes.