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Metallicube said:

3DS stumbles out the gate to mediocre sales -> price is dropped in desperation and library begins to improve -> console begins to gain momentum and reach pretty strong sales but still not great.

Not arguing with anything you said, but you need to adjust your definition of "great" if being ahead of the DS in aligned LTD sales 102 weeks after launch doesn't fit it. Seeing as 102 weeks after the DS's launch places it in November of 2006, well after the Lite and NSMB releases.