Will Animal Crossing face the same fate as Nintendogs or Brain Training?

[sethnintendo]

Otakumegane said:

NintendoPie said:

Otakumegane said:

Then do you honestly expect Nintendo to take a risk and market this in a pre-dominant male gaming audience for 3DS? I'm just really afraid that if this title doesn't do well then Nintendo might go "well guess there's  no market here for Japan games after all! Cancel all localizations!"

Yes, I expect Nintendo to market this game. They can't just throw it out there and expect it do perform amazingly.

Wanna bet on 1st year sales of AC in NA? I say no more than 550-600k

There are at least 700k AC fans in NA that will buy the game the first year.  You wanted reasons why this will do better than WW?  How about the biggest change to the series since the start (being the mayor now and ability to plot out how the town is built more). 

DS NA launch - Nov 2004

Animal Crossing: Wild World - released Nov 2005

DS Lite NA launch - June 2006 (when DS sales exploded)

 

3DS NA launch - March 2011

3DS XL NA launch - August 2012

Animal Crossing: New Leaf NA launch - Late Q1 2013

There are more 3DS owners in NA when New Leaf launches than there was when Wild World launched.