PS3 to be the second most popular home console EVER?

[Viper1]

pezus said:

Viper1 said:

pezus said:

man-bear-pig said:
No chance.

You people seem to think that the PS3 will have the same post-gen legs as the PS2 did, which is ludicrous. The only reason the PS2's legs were so good is because it was enormously popular and it made financial sense for Sony to continue to support it after the next-gen had started. Times have changed since then. The PS3 is nowhere near the popularity of the PS2 and its post-gen legs will be significantly shorter.

No. Again, even if PS3 sold only 50% of PS2 post-PS3 sales from here on out it could outsell Wii. Actually, it is very near its popularity relative to the year we are looking at. PS3 is holding up better than PS2 did relatively.

72.4 million + 20 million = 92.4 million.  The Wii is already 6.4 million units ahead of that and still selling.   Much slower but still selling.

Wasn't PS2 at about 110m back then? So ~47m/2 = 23.5m -> PS3 = 96m . Then we add the usual 15% fluctuation and you've got a stew going

Going by several posts in here, the PS2 sold ~40 million after the PS3 launched.  50% would be ~20 million.   Even with the 15% fluctuate, that's still just 23 million.  So 72.4 million + 23 million = 95.4 million.