PS3 to be the second most popular home console EVER?

[Turkish]

sperrico87 said:

Turkish said:
Yes. Wii will stop selling around 100-102m. PS3 has 5 more years left of sales. The shipments should be around 75m right now, it will definetly do another 25m.

My prediction still stands, PS3 will reach 105m.

5 more years? How?  It launched at the end of 2006.  Even going by Sony's own bloated "10-year lifecycle" tag, which is of course bogus, that's less than four years away from reaching fruition.  And you're not factoring in that PS4 by all estimates will launch no later than fall 2014, which means PS3 sales will nosedive.  In all likelihood they'll probably nosedive starting this holiday, as Xbox 3 and Wii U begin the new cycle and stomp out the previous generation.

Bogus? As far as I know Sony's consoles always sold more than 10 years. Even PSP will make it to 2014, what makes you think PS3 won't live to see 2016-2017? PS3 launched in 2006 and 2007 in Europe. The sales are falling ofcourse, the focus in the West and Japan will shift to PS4, while Sony will introduce and market the cheap PS3 to emerging markets. This is Sony's strategy and it happened with both PS1 and PS2.