Wii 30 million or xbox360 20 million, what will come first?

[Fastrabbit09]

Wii will hit 30mil the week of july 5th

that's 22 weeks away (including last week cause results not up yet)

360 is currently just over 3.1mil away from hitting 20mil, so it would need to sell >141k/week on average in order to beat the Wii


last week: 115k
prev week: 122k
prev week: 117k

average: 118k/week or 2.6mil or 500k away from hitting 20mil by july 5th

so, will gta/dmc/etc cause 500k extra sales on top of the 2.6mil sales?

looking at halo:

aug 25 2007: 145k

vs

sep 22 2007: 173k
sep 29 2007: 241k +100k
oct 06 2007: 223.6k +80k
oct 13 2007: 210.5k +65k
oct 20 2007: 188k +40k
oct 27 2007: 182k +40k

doesn't seem on the surface that halo 3 caused more than 300k or so in extra sales in the month of launch

dmc4 launched in others and 360 sold same there this week as last week

gta is non-exclusive, but should still move SOME consoles thanks to unique content, but i don't see 500k in extra sales from it

also, looking at last year, sales actually go down during spring/summer from jan/feb sales until they pick up again in aug/sept (too late for this thread)

http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS3&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=All&start=39096&end=39355

so unless there is a major price cut that spurs long-term sales increases, i don't see 360 hitting 20mil until the end of july at earliest, while i see wii hitting 31mil+ by end of july