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It really depends on the attach ratio, which for the Wii is currently around 8.5 (I expect will die close to 9 as the longer people have a system the more games they usually buy for it). The Gamecube did 9.5, Nintendo would have to reach 360 or PS2 numbers (9.99 currently and 10.66) to even have a shot. The hardware sales now lead me to think its going to sell around 60-70 million lifetime (of course that's an early estimate based on a lot of things that could change both ways) .

Wii attach rate (currently) would put them at around 600 million software sold
Gamecube attach rate would put them at around 660 million software sold
360 like numbers (ie increasing their attach rate) would put them at around 700 million software sold

Wii is currently at about 840 million software sold so I don't see it happening unless they greatly increase the attach ratio or get more hardware sales than I imagine they will. That being said both of those are possibilities at this point, they will need to do very well though.

Congrats to Nintendo though for having around 270 million of those sales in just their top 10 sellers on the Wii. They really do sell a lot of games. (This points to their big flaw however but I won't go there).

 

BTW. If you're talking more about will Wii U have as big of sellers as Wii then no, obviously no Wii Sports like 80 million but I kinda doubt it will get more than maybe 1 20million seller (and that will probably be Mario Kart).



Systems Currently Playing: WiiU, PS3, 3DS

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