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The Wii U cod will be lucky to sell even half a million. If people haven't already bought it on any console by now, it's unlikely they would be waiting to get it on the Wii U.

This isn't as much of a problem for Vita cod because it's exclusive. Also the vita cod is currently the most expensive game for sale. As it drops in price to be comparable with other vita games it will pick up a couple hundred thousand more sales.