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One of my big concerns is Wii U software sales drastically missing projections.

Projected for FY2012: 24m
As of Dec. 22 according to VGChartz: *4.5m

*This figure does not include E-Shop digital-download games.

Nintendo projected a whopping 4.36 attach rate (games per console shipped).

With 15 unreported sales weeks left until March 31st, that's 1.33m / week needed to hit goal.

I can't see them coming even remotely close - unless, they count cheap Indie Dev games in this number? Does anyone know?

Also does anyone know a reliable way to project with margin of error +/- 5%, a Digital Game Sales figure for Wii U? What % of total sales have been digital for other systems, for 3DS...XBox, PS3?

If the Wii U software projections miss big, it could be the fly in the ointment preventing Nintendo from hitting FY2012 Profit projections...despite favorable Yen exchange rates.

Thoughts?