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I think it is fair to say that the game won't be a complete sales disaster but, without it being part of a well known IP or being a highly anticipated title in a very popular genre, I think its sales are limited ...

500,000 is a fairly safe bet in my opinion and, if it is high enough quality and marketed well enough, it could potentially break 1,000,000; but I think it is very unlikely that it would pass 2 million sales worldwide.