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Nintendo wants to ship 5.5 million by March 31st.  Currently, at 2,207,828 as of Dec 22.  There are 15 unreported sales weeks left until March 31st.

To reach 5.5 million in sales, Wii U needs to sell 3,292,172 in 15 weeks, or 219,478 / week.

Take a look below at how the Wii fared during its launch period, during the same 15 weeks from the last week of Decemeber 2006 through end of March 2007.

As you can see the Wii posted 3,168,846 sales during this period, averaging  211,256/ week - to end with 5,838,056 in sales.
Thus, the Wii U would need to outpace the Wii every single week in sales, just in order to reach 5.5 million in sales.  The Wii U has not even come close to doing so once so far, and it will not do so at any point through the end of March.
So, it is a virtual guarantee that the Wii U will not sell 5.5 million.  But, Nintendo's goal was to ship 5.5 million.  They didn't provide a sales goal.
Week End Dec 30 - Wii 285,571 (-52%) 2,954,781
Week End Jan 6 - Wii 304,147 (+7%) 3,258,928
Week End Jan 13 - Wii 251,498 (-17%) 3,510,426
Week End Jan 20 - Wii 245,435 (-2%) 3,755,861
Week End Jan 27 - Wii 251,288 (+2%) 4,007,149
Week End Feb 3 - Wii 231,018 (-8%) 4,238,167
Week Feb 10 - Wii 220,974 (-4%) 4,459,141
Week Feb 17 - Wii 216,779 (-2%) 4,675,920
Week Feb 24 - Wii 232,912 (+7%) 4,908,832
Week Mar 3 - Wii 200,263 (-14%) 5,109,095
Week Mar 10 - Wii 181,394 (-9%) 5,290,489
Week Mar 17 - Wii 193,202 (+7%) 5,483,691
Week Mar 24 - Wii 199,293 (+3%) 5,682,984
Week Mar 31 - Wii 155,072 (-22%) 5,838,056