kowenicki said:
theprof00 said:
kowenicki said:
theprof00 said: Agree with kowen regarding the gap by march, though possibly closer to 1m than 1.5. Year 2012, they closed gap ~500k by march, with only One Piece boosting sales in Japan. This year has god of war, sly, metal gear rising, allstars release in jp. This all depends on december numbers though...NPD could paint a very different picture, and a price cut early for 360 could change things. |
But sales will be down YOY again for both, unless some large price cuts happen, the gap whilst roughly the same in percentage figures between the two will be a lower number. So that kinda counters the new releases I think.
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Well, yes, I've figure that in, and even with 360 generally having a lower %drop this yoy change, since they sold less units, continuing a 30% drop actually wouldn't result in much of a difference between ps3's 22% drop and 360's, so the jan-mar yoy could be the exact same, which is why I agree with your numbers.
Further, I've factored in the upcoming gears release. 2012 gap change was 500k, I think it's going to be just slightly greater than that though. Just my theory. It's also my theory that MS is going to do something regarding pricing soon, possibly around that gears release....and personally I think 360 sales should be slightly higher than our december numbers are showing, and likely kinect sales as well.
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Interesting. I'd say 360 numbers arent too low and are probably ok, but I kind of think PS3 may be a tad high in Europe.
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I think ps3 is too high in europe, others and japan, and it's too low in americas.
I think 360 is also too high in europe, and too low enough in americas.
I think 360 will likely be adjusted up by 200k or so, and ps3 will remain the same, or maybe 30k up or something minimal like that.
Vita on the other hand I think is undertracked by a good margin.