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Miguel_Zorro said:

I'm not convinced that backwards compatilibity makes a difference for the "old" console.  If the next gen XBox is $399 or more and the 360 is selling for $149-$199 at the same time, they appeal to somewhat different markets.  The PS3 was backwards compatible in the first few years, and the PS2 kept selling.  The WiiU is backwards compatible, and the Wii is dropping quickly (unrelated though, since the Wii started dropping well before the WiiU was released).  I'm sure one could selectively cite examples to support an argument one way or the other, but there isn't a correlation.  Ultimately, the hardware manufacturer will continue to sell the console as long as there is a market for it.  "Most potential owners" wouldn't necessarily buy the new console, because it's out of their price range in the early days. $199 is the mass market price point.

As for barely clearing half of PS2 sales - the PS3 will hit 100 million.

This was actually one of the main reasons that BC was taken out of ps3.

You can almost see the clear evidence of it with the BC rumour of ps4. I don't know if you've heard, but supposedly, BC for ps3 will be supported through a 99$ attachment- a memory card housing the cell chip itself. Makes a lot of sense. Helps keep the ps3 selling, and prevents the ps4 from taking away too much of the good margin of ps3.