Gen-over-gen marketshare report

[psrock]

Squilliam said:

psrock said:

Squilliam said:

Japan is less of a factor every generation. The ROTW (rest of the world) market isn't very well understood so whilst Sony is strong in ROTW they usually play an important part later in the generation when the overall market has been decided. Digital distribution will reduce Sony's logistical advantage in smaller countries/2nd world countries. It will be the early adopters in Europe, North America and Oceania which will decide whether a particular console will establish an unassailable lead and the rest of the world will likely follow.

Japan is a huge factor and one Sony needs badly. Sony should try to sell at leastb10 million PS4 in the first 5 years, that would be enough to offset the 360 lead in the US, then market the shit out the PS4 in Europe. And avoid the year difference. 

 

 

Nintendo will probably dominate Sony in their domestic market. The 3DS is 8:1 over the Vita and the Wii U will have a years sales advantage. Given the smaller size of the Japanese market the Wii U will be a natural fit for scope of their domestic games market given the cross compatibility with handhelds and the smaller development costs which are critical for addressing a smaller market.

Microsoft needed a years head start over the PS3 this generation but they don't need it anymore. People simply won't assume that FF, GTA, MGS etc will be exclusive to the PS4 at the start and the brand advantage Sony has is signifcantly smaller this time around and what remains of the difference could easily be mitigated by spending $$$$ between subsidised hardware or significant advertising and cross promotion.

Can we stop looking at Vita sales to predict PS4, very different situation. And the PS3 is doing better than Vita, heck PSP is doing better. I doubt PS4 will have then support vita has gotten.