Well, I think the PS3 should have done much much better this generation because it was launching from a Playstation brand that was HUGE and was probably peaking around that time. Unfortunately Sony made mistakes this generation, and the size of the playstation brand has diminished. So people predicting PS4 to suddenly have huge sales again are nuts! Xbox has clearly taken away a segment of the Playstation fan base.
Also, even in Japan where PS3 fans seem to use that as a "huge" advantage over Xbox, isn't that big of an advantage, mainly because Japan is becoming a smaller market, and the PS4 will face intense competition from Nintendo.
Having said that, we certainly can't predict how any console will do. I mean, Microsoft says the 360 sold 70+ million units, but how many of those were bought as replacements for older units that got the RROD? This is actually a very important point, because it can give us a closer figure as to how many 360 users there actually are. We usually here the figure of 40 million Xbox live accounts from Microsoft a lot, so maybe there are 40 million Xbox units in operation today? If this were true, then it would give the 360 a much smaller market share then the PS3. Also, I know a lot of people that bought a PS3 after their Xbox broke, so perhaps the PS3 got an increase in sales from Microsoft's faliure, and this should not happen next generation.
NNID: FrequentFlyer54
