Squilliam said:
psrock said:
Squilliam said:
Kinect is still important because it is still selling. If people still want to buy Kinect then Kinect 2.0 ought to be a reasonably viable choice as well. It is something unique and likely as valuable at the moment to Microsoft as the Halo franchise if not more so given the slight decline in the fortunes of Halo over the generation. They can solve the issues of the space requirement, finger tracking, 4 people tracking and reliability of voice/gestures with the march of technological progress. I think of Kinect as another important franchise like Wii Sports. It is something unique and therefore they can address an exclusive part of the market like for instance how Nintendo has a core fanbase who rabidly buys their titles.
I wouldn't say that everything applies to two countries. Just because Microsoft hasn't sold as well as Sony in say Europe doesn't mean that they won't sell a good number of consoles in that region. The Xbox 360 lead over the PS3 in the U.S.A is more significant than the deficit to the PS3 in Europe. We have Europe at 23-28M and U.S.A. at 38-23M respectively. The European market is also complicated further by the greater penetration of PC gaming and the Valve console if it ever releases is likely to be more successful there as well.
Overall I would say that Microsoft is my pick as the one to beat in the next generation because they are strong in some big markets and they have the money and experience now to expand to other nations as well.
|
The PS2 is still selling, heck Sony shipped more move this year than MS kinect, but they are still a non issue. Kinect hasn't caught on outside of the United States. I do expect MS to lead in the US, but the wildcard is Japan. MS, Sony will sell everywhere, but the 720 won't be a factor in japan. Can Sony take advantage.
I expect Nintendo to lead early, MS to have a big splash , Sony to finish strong.
|
Japan is less of a factor every generation. The ROTW (rest of the world) market isn't very well understood so whilst Sony is strong in ROTW they usually play an important part later in the generation when the overall market has been decided. Digital distribution will reduce Sony's logistical advantage in smaller countries/2nd world countries. It will be the early adopters in Europe, North America and Oceania which will decide whether a particular console will establish an unassailable lead and the rest of the world will likely follow.
|
Japan is a huge factor and one Sony needs badly. Sony should try to sell at leastb10 million PS4 in the first 5 years, that would be enough to offset the 360 lead in the US, then market the shit out the PS4 in Europe. And avoid the year difference.
Next Gen 
