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I do not really have a prediction for next gen, just some observations.
MS cannot seem to control Japan.
Wii U seems to not be as big as Wii but who knows.
PS4 will not have the home media player like ps3 with blu ray.
3rd Party support could swing either way.
Kinect effect has been used, I do not think kinect 2.0 can replicate the effect for Xbox 720. So they might go for something completely new.
Japanese companies seem to be in financial problems, so their might be more western games then last gen.

With all that said it is unclear to me who might win, if PS4 or 720 have something groundbreaking like the Wii then they would probably win but it seems unlikely atm.