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I don't know shams... Melee only did 1.4 million or close to that on a userbase of 4 million. 3 million I think might be pushing it. I'd say closer to 2... maybe in the very long run, but not within the next few weeks for sure. Or I may be crazy. Melee sold the majority of its units in the first few weeks, though of course the GC was a dead bird in Japan, so it didn't really have the expanding userbase to support long legs. We'll have to see.

Edit: when I say "in the long run" i was referring to brawl getting to 3 million, not my prediction of 2 million. Brawl should hit 2 million by the end of the year at least. I hope.