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Vinniegambini said:

The PS Vita has a long way before any of its titles reaches 1 million, the only one that currently comes to mind would be Final Fantasy X HD when released.


Not at all.  Uncharted will hit 1 million early next year easily.  Its sales are increasing as we head towards Christmas just like every other game.  Its legs will be eaten into by PS+, but that's not gonna stop it selling what it needs to reach 1 million.

Otherwise, I agree with the rest of your post.  Nintendoland and Mario will hit 1 million long before anything on the Vita, between NL's bundles and Mario's appeal.