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Next Summer.  Around July the Wii U will start to overtake the PS3 and Xbox 360 in global sales, but only if Sony or Microsoft announce their Gen8 consoles.

If neither announce next gen consoles, and one or the other reduces the price of their console over the Summer, the Wii U won't overtake the other two.

If the Wii U does become #1, it'll happen first in Japan, then Europe, and then the US.