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I don't understand why Nintendo never learn from past experiences. Looks like they don't intend to release anything significant before winter 2013. Who's going to buy the system in the next 12 months? Even the hardcore Nintendo fans (like me) will hold off.

Why can't they release something big in, like, march? Big = 3DMario, Mario Kart, Zelda, Metroid, Paper Mario, F-Zero, Starfox, Yoshi, something new! I bought Wii when Mario Galaxy came out, looks like it's going to be the same pattern. How is it smart not to build momentum in a system's first year? I don't get it.

Imagine Wii U launching with Mario Kart. o_O

On topic, unless Nintendo do something surprising, I don't think it will sell according to their expectations, sadly. The upside is that there will be a price drop soon.