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Well, the Nov gap between the 360 and the PS3 this year in the US has fallen from ~800K last year to ~500K. If we subtract the lead PS3 has in Japan from this number we get ~434K. Then factor in the lead the PS3 has in EU and we get ~278K gap in favor of the 360.

After adjustments are applied to the US, the PS3 should have a lead of ~1.46M for the year. I believe that numbers will be relatively flat MOM, at least in the US, so I think the PS3 will end the year with a lead of ~1.1M-1.2M.