By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
kowenicki said:
gergroy said:
GameAnalyser said:
ethomaz said:

4. JAPAN (VGC DATA)

PS3 VGC DATA PLUS MY ESTIMATE
YEAR MY PREDICITION MY CUMULATIVE SOLD  CUMULATIVE DIFF COMMENTS
2006  -  - 472,605 472,605 -
2007   - - 1,218,612 1,691,217 -
2008 -  - 1,065,808 2,757,025 -
2009 - - 1,829,784 4,586,809 -
2010 - - 1,553,638 6,140,447 -
2011 - - 1,521,847 7,662,294 -
2012 1,300,000
9,000,000  * 25th Nov * 1,017,820  * 25th Nov * 8,680,114 -  
2013 1,200,000
10,200,000        
2014 1,000,000
11,200,000      
2015 600,000
11,800,000
 

2016 400,000 12,200,000        
2017+ 300,000 12,500,000        


2013 as per the current trends and based on the data above will be the year when PS3 will have its highest peak. Then there will be a gradual decline, contrary to the higher numbers posted over the longer period above.


Huh? Based on current trends and the data above 2013 will be a peak year? Are you looking at the same data as me? It looks like the current trends and data above indicate that 2009 was the peak year for japan and that it has been in a slow decline since...

This is also why it will be wrong very soon.  He has it selling 300k by the end of the year in Japan.  It wont.  It sold slightly less than that in the same periood last year when it was selling at a higher rate and the WiiU didnt exist.

So 2012 is slightly too high

2013 is way too high

and 2014 is madness.


I agree, but the biggest problems with his predictions is that he doesnt think the next systems will launch next year.  I think a 2013 launch of the nextbox and ps4 is all but guaranteed at this point.  If that happens it pretty much destroys these predictions regardless...