ethomaz on 03 December 2012
Hi guys.
That's my second big prediction in VGChartz using the the same model of the most famous and accurate pretictor in this forum... thanks @BHR-3. Again I hope to have the same "luck" lol.
So what is my prediction?
Sony will ship 115 million units of PS3 and became the top seller console this gen when it stopped to sell (or near that).
Many factors should help this number happen like: PS3 price cuts ($199, $149 and $99), bundles and deals, big games, etc... it's probable and I think that will happen.
For reference I'll make a table for each region using the yearly numbers and fits it with my prediction numbers.
1. WORLDWIDE BY FISCAL YEAR (SHIPPED DATA)
| PS3 SHIPPED DATA PLUS MY ESTIMATE (FISCAL YEAR) | ||||||
| YEAR | MY PREDICITION | MY CUMULATIVE | SHIPPED | CUMULATIVE | DIFF | COMMENTS |
| FY2006 | - | - | 3.5m | 3.5m | - | |
| FY2007 | - | - | 9.1m | 12.6m | - | |
| FY2008 | - | - | 10.1m | 22.7m | - | |
| FY2009 | - | - | 13.0m | 35.7m | - | |
| FY2010 | - | - | 14.3m | 50.0m | - | |
| FY2011 | - | - | 13.9m | 63.9m | - | |
| FY2012 | 13.1m |
77.0m | * 4th Nov * 8.0m | * 4th Nov * 70.0m | - | |
| FY2013 | 11.9m |
88.9m | * 2nd Nov * 80.0m | - | ||
| FY2014 | 9.8m |
98.7m | ||||
| FY2015 | 7.1m |
105.8m | ||||
| FY2016 | 4.7m | 110.5m | ||||
| FY2017+ | 4.5m | 115.0m |
2. WORLDWIDE BY YEAR (SHIPPED DATA)
| PS3 SHIPPED DATA PLUS MY ESTIMATE (YEAR) | ||||||
| YEAR | MY PREDICITION | MY CUMULATIVE | SHIPPED | CUMULATIVE | DIFF | COMMENTS |
| 2006 | - | - | 1.7m | 1.7m | - | |
| 2007 | - | - | 8.7m | 10.4m | - | |
| 2008 | - | - | 10.7m | 21.1m | - | |
| 2009 | - | - | 12.4m | 33.5m | - | |
| 2010 | - | - | 14.4m | 47.9m | - | |
| 2011 | - | - | 14.1m | 62.0m | - | |
| 2012 | 13.2m |
75.2m | * 4th Nov * 8.0m | * 4th Nov * 70.0m | - | |
| 2013 | 12.3m |
87.5m | * 2nd Nov * 80.0m | |||
| 2014 | 10.1m |
97.6m | ||||
| 2015 | 7.4m |
105.0m | ||||
| 2016 | 5.3m | 110.3m | ||||
| 2017+ | 4.7m | 115.0m |
