How many 10 Million sellers will the Wii U have?

[benji232]

Gamerace said:
I expect all next gen systems to have dramatically lower sales than this gen and that extents to game sales. Mainly because so much of the market is moving to tablets / other systems (Ouya, Oculis Rift, Steambox).

I don't expect WiiU to sell much more than 30m systems so if any game hits 10m in sales that's a major accomplishment representing 30% of the market, in my view.

NintendoLand is the most likely choice to do so since it's bundled with the version that's actually selling.
NSMBU is a possibility but too similar to NSMBWii and to soon after NSMB3
Mario Kart U is the only other game that might have a chance.

Super Smash Bros - managed 10m on near 100m system. WiiU won't sell close to that, neither will it's SSB
3D Mario - As above
Wii Fit U - Game/exercise craze is long over and nearly dead. Looks almost identical to Wii version. 5m tops.
Wii U Sports - Only if it utilizes Wiimote primarily and the gamepad only as a second screen and be better than WSResort was. Involve the dual-analog and it's a dead duck (at least compared to Wii versions)
Just Dance - Dance craze also starting to fade and WiiU won't have the userbase. Really, there's simply zero reasons for JD fans to upgrade to WiiU.

I strongly disagree with you whatsoever. There is and will always be a strong market for consoles. Il ask you something, how did the ps2 sell 150 million and SNES and the NES both sold 50m if there were barely any casual people at that time? 

Why are so many people over estimating the importance of these casual people. Sure, they made a lot of cash to the industry while they were there, but the consoles were still doing very good without them. Also, I highly doubt that even 1% of the console gamers will want to play on tablets instead of consoles. Finally, Pcs will never take over consoles. They are just too complicated for too many people.