Statistics for PS3 New IP Million Sellers

[crissindahouse]

Jay520 said:

crissindahouse said:

 

i'm saying that games which released with a low userbase have obviously a bigger chance to sell good in the long run. why? because a game which releases with a 10 million userbase can only sell to ten million people at release but 60 million people who bought the console after the release are maybe also interested in the game and buy it the years after the games release.

but if you release a game with 70 million userbase you have 70 million potential costumers from day one and only maybe 30 million will buy a ps3 after the release and with that only 30 million potential customers interested in the game can#t buy the game at release because they donät own the ps3 yet.

So you're using that to say recent games (like PaBR) will likely have lower sales? Well, that can be countered by better first year. For its first year, PABR should have an advantage over past games since it has more consoles to sell to. And even if it doesn't sell more its first year, it could still do 1m in one year, which is good.

i just use fake numbers now to say what i believe:

if all games released in 2007 sold 100k on average the first week and 1.5 million lifetime which would be a multiplicator of 15, i doubt that the average game of 2012 which sold maybe 300k on average first week will also sell 15x as much lifetime.

that counts for all games on average, not only for psabr.

maybe i'm wrong but that's what i believe.

and i did never say psabr won't sell 1 million. with digital sales i think it could sell even more with good word of mouth.