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i think it will sell one million+, sony is most of the time selling their games very short after release for only 19.99 and i expect this also with this game (and almost all ps 3 games from sony) so they drastically increase their game sales with this. that's even a reason why i would concider not to buy a ps3 game at release because i know i will get it very cheap only few months later. exceptions are games like the last of us which will be a must buy day 1 for me.

it's also a game living from word of mouth because many will buy that because their friends want to play against them (the mario kart and whatever factor just smaller)