man-bear-pig said:
Scoobes said:
man-bear-pig said:
Scoobes said:
Not entirely surprising; a new iPhone will lead to a spike in market share for iOS. It doesn't really change the long-term trend. |
What's the long-term trend in your eyes?
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Android has been gaining market share slowly but steadily over the last few years. Whenever a new iPhone is released, iOS gets a nice big spike in market share for a quarter or so, but long-term, it's a gradual decrease. This is more apparent if you look at worldwide totals.
Windows Phone 8 could throw a spanner in the works, but it'll be slow to get there.
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Most of the stats I've seen indicate the following worldwide smartphone marketshares by 2015:
20+% - iOS
15% - WP
50-55% - Android
So WP will take a slice of Androids pie and Apple will stay as they are
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They still have Blackberry and Symbian to get past first (which is almost certain).
That doesn't sound too far off though. Apple have a loyal fanbase of customers that have invested in the App store so I doubt they'll ever go too far below 20%. Even with the might of Microsofts marketing, I don't see them growing too quickly, but they may eat a little into Android's share... so 15% in 2 years sounds about right.
