I think people may be over estimating GTA impact. I think a large portion of the people who will be getting it already own a 360 or ps3. It will definately move some systems, but without a price cut to go along with it, i think it will only move a relatively low amount more than normal. On the other hand, i think the Brawl (supply permitting) will move a good amount of systems. Many people tell me that they are waiting for Brawl to get a wii. Plus at least at my store, We have easily 3 times more brawl reserves than gta reserves on both the ps3 and 360 combined. So with that said, i think it will be real close. I'd say a 360 price drop will swing it in the favor of 360, but no price drop will give it to Wii. So really the ball is in MS court.
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