Sullla on 09 February 2008
That's a good question. I'll take a rough guess and estimate that the 360 will sell at an average rate of about 130k per week. (It will do more than that in the launch period of Grand Theft Auto, but less than that at other times.) At that rate, it would take 25 weeks to reach 20m units sold. If the Wii sells at the current weekly rate, which is roughly 350k, it would sell a little less than 9m units, and come up a bit short.
My guestimate would therefore be that the 360 will reach the mark first, although rather narrowly. Obviously if the 360 averages less than 130k/week, or the Wii more than 350k, this will be substantially off.
End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)
