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Parokki said:
I don't share John's taste for extravagant predictions, but it's probably safe to safe Brawl, Galaxy, and Mario Kart all have a good chance of hitting 10M sold world wide.

Galaxy is heading there at a nice pace. Should get there sometime during next year.

Brawl is looking even stronger, and will probably get there first. Launching with 800k in Japan is extremely impressive, especially since it should have much better legs than most big games there.

Nintendo has intentionally given us very little information about Mario Kart, but the previous part sold even better than the Super Mario main series game of its generation, or Melee. It could do the same this gen, but I can't help being skeptical of how it could possibly be as awesome as Brawl.

You should ask yourself, was MK:DD as awsome as SSBM to you? because if not then you just proved your skepticism is unfounded.... after all if MK:DD can outsell the likes of Melee (on quite a hardcore Nintendoite platform as well) then what will MK Wii do to Brawl? (on the casuals dream)

 

I should add That I don't think Brawl will be the fourth best selling Wii game, It might be (depending on Wii Fit) but I think all three Wii__ (Sports is obviously no1 anyway) as well as Kart will outsell it. There may be other currently unnanounced games to creep up too, but I doubt it.
Brawl is imho definately a 10 million seller, 20mil is possible but I think it may end up around 15 million (with MK being  2-3 million more)