Can the PS3 overtake the XBox 360 by January 1, 2013?

[thismeintiel]

kain_kusanagi said:

thismeintiel said:

Well, I'll keep thinking the reasonable estimation is correct, and you can continue to think the worst case scenerio is true.

I don't believe it's true. All I did was estimate the worst case to go against Sony's best case. Obviously the real number is somewhere inbetween. My whole point, from the begining, is that nobody knows for sure how many Move enabled PS3s are out there, but it surely isn't 15m. I find it amazing how many people have twisted my words and disregarded their meaning.

Sony hasn't put out a best case scenerio, they have only told us how many Moves have shipped.  As for my estimation (technically ioi's), it is the middle ground.  A best case for install base would be if every person only owned 1, which would make the install base ~14M.