Can the PS3 overtake the XBox 360 by January 1, 2013?

[thismeintiel]

kain_kusanagi said:

thismeintiel said:

Sony has clarifed that the shipments are for Move contollers only when they released the first batch of numbers for it. 

'Accurate "as of November 2010," the figure is purely for the Move controller itself, excluding the PlayStation Eye camera also required to use the Move and the optional--but preferable--navigation controller.' - Source 

@ OP

It won't happen.  However, as long as MS doesn't start selling 360s for $50 a pop, then it should happen mid-late 2013.  MS may overtake them again for the holidays, but when the PS3 passes it again early 2014, there's no looking back.

Interesting. So there is no way to know how many PS3s are Move enabled. Sony says 15m Move controls have shipped, but if everyone who buys Move buys four then the number of people with Move is less than 4m.

4 each? Lol, you're joking, right?  I would imagine quite a few have 1, as most mulyiplayer games have you take turns.  And those that do have multiple controllers, most only have 2.  I know for ioi's estimates of install base, he was dividing the number sold by 1.5.  So let's say 14M have actually been sold to customers, that would be an install base of ~9.33M.