Can the PS3 overtake the XBox 360 by January 1, 2013?

[thismeintiel]

kain_kusanagi said:

psrock said:

RolStoppable said:

psrock said:
It won't happen this year, I expect both shipment to be close as they usually are. But can we slow down on the Kinect, its as much a factor as move is right now.

Kinect shipped over 2m units this year, so yeah... it's clearly fizzling out.

Sony has shipped 5 million move. They reported 10 million in march, now its at 15million. 

Of all shipped numbers from all the companies I take the most salt with Sony's Move numbers. What are they telling us? Is it PSeye, Move controlers that some people buy by the four? You need at least a PSeye and one Movie Controler to have a working move, but if Sony is telling use they have shipped 10-15m Move controlers and some people buy up to four that's really just one set. If MS tells us they shipped X number of Kinect then it means X number of Kinect are in X number of people's homes. If Sony says they shipped X the real number is somewhere between X/4 and X.

Sony has clarifed that the shipments are for Move contollers only when they released the first batch of numbers for it. 

'Accurate "as of November 2010," the figure is purely for the Move controller itself, excluding the PlayStation Eye camera also required to use the Move and the optional--but preferable--navigation controller.' - Source 

@ OP

It won't happen.  However, as long as MS doesn't start selling 360s for $50 a pop, then it should happen mid-late 2013.  MS may overtake them again for the holidays, but when the PS3 passes it again early 2014, there's no looking back.