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No Halo and Cod (sells more 360's then PS3's) + Black Friday will mean that 360 will probably sell more this Holiday season pushing the gap to 2.3-2.5 million. The two main factors are how the two consoles do in Europe, States and the affect of the Wii U will decide how little or large the gap will be. However if the PS3 does well in Europe this holiday then the gap will stay the same or lower down to 1.5 million or be 1.3 million.

If this Holiday is in 360's favour (2.5 million gap)
If this Holiday is in PS3's favour (1.3 million gap)