I think that damn near all of them are going to do poorly. I was in Gamestop today buying NSMB U and Black Ops and the launch just didn't look all that impressive--despite having some good games. Batman (which I will buy) is a year old. Ninja Gaiden is improved but it was garbage on other consoles so it has that reputation. Assassin's Creed III is the first in the series on a Nintendo home console. Mass Effect 3 is old, has issues, AND will cost more than the trilogy on other consoles. Tekken (and the fighting game genre) aren't big on any console. Most of the rest just don't stand out.
The Wii U's success stories will be Zombie U (if it's good), Nintendo's own titles, and possibly the party/fitness titles. We'll have to wait for the games that are not late ports and the titles that are made with the Wii U in mind. Like the Vita launch, we get a lot of titles that are technically good but still just don't stand out. If I had any sense at all, I'd wait a few months before buying. Unfortunately, I'm legally retarded.
*oh, and Mickey Mouse should do well*
