3DS will over take the PS3 in total Japan sales by the end of the month!

[JWeinCom]

spurgeonryan said:

benao87 said:
Meh, PSP, or even the very DS are better measures. (It won't reach DS level btw)

It already has. You are saying it will not stay on pace and eventually fall behind?

Yes. The DS didn't start out of the gate super strong.  It kicked it into a second gear with the DSLite, NSMB, Mario Kart, etc.  From the launch to the DS's first full year on the market (including 2 holiday seasons) the DS sold 14.5 million.  The next full year saw sales of 21 million.  The year after that?  29 million.  The next year?  32 million.

The question is whether or not the 3DS could kick into that second gear.  Right now, I don't see any compelling hardware or software reasons for that to happen.  The 3DSXL didn't provide the same kind of boost as the DSLite and I don't see any software that is going to spark a Brain Age like boost to the 3DS market.  It's hard to see the 3DS having the success the DS did unless Nintendo is holding out on us.