Global up! (Includes new adjustments)

[Euphoria14]

slowmo said:

Euphoria14 said:
As for the numbers, they look great, but considering VGC and it's incredible overtracking last month in the US I would be very wary of these and not take them as gospel. That is quite a large jump.

I could be wrong, but at this stage of the generation our tracking isn't doing so hot.

I hope i'm wrong though. A healthier industry is good news.

NPD aren't facts either though, they're estimates too and are frequently out also.  I think we are overtracking in the US but undertracking Europe and others so it's balancing out which is why the figures compared to shipped numbers look fine.  Lets not forget that we still have the PS3 has winner (although statictically tied) last year on this site when Microsoft PR stated they won and Sony didn't dispute the claim.  I'd take that information much more as gospel but the adjustments that happened never showed this did they.  Long term the figures balance out but if you don't want to discuss estimates (because they aren't facts) then why visit here?

All the above being said, you're right that our tracking has looked pretty poor for the last 12 months or so imo.  I don't think our models have tracked the decline in demand properly which is a lot harder to predict than steady growth like the Wii, 360 and PS3 had for a few years.

Yes, NPD are estimates as well, but they are much more reliable than VGC since they cover a much larger amount of retailers and now have access to Walmart as well. Just because I have been here for 5 years does not mean I have to accept these numbers are valid, especially when they have yet to do adjustments for Vita, PS3 and 360 with recently released numbers.

 

I also visit here because this site isn't just sales. These numbers are meant to be as an indicator of how the market might be reacting, not as truth, especially when NPD showed last month that we overtracked PS3 and 360 by nearly 100k or so each. That's a BIG discrepancy.

I am mearly saying that everyone should take a wait and see approach with these holiday figures. The true numbers will come out, they always do. Nintendo gives us EU numbers, Media Create and Famitsu give us JPN numbers and NPD provides the most reliable US numbers. This is just how it is.