| noname2200 said: Here's a fun article. _______________________________________________________________________________________ I guess that explains some things. I also learned some stuff. |
Interesting article. I'm actually kind of surprised that Romney's campaign team beileved undecided voters break for the challenger. Its been shown to be false (especially as a blanket statement) in multiple studies when looking at recent elections. The 2004 and 2012 presidential elections are now the most notable examples, but its also been shown to be false at lower levels (Senate, House, and gubernatorial elections). I'm also interested to see the numbers on independents. It looks like a reasonable assumption, and I have some anecdotal evidence to back it up, but it still seems like an oversimplification, given that those independents would still lean and vote republican, on average. As for the overpolling of democrats, I never really bought into it.
