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Ail said:


The democrats will keep benefiting from the rise of the latinos but you have to be realist, the next democrat candidate probably won't be black so he will not do as well with black americans, they will probably vote in fewer number and they are unlikely to favor the next democrat as much as they did Obama ( he got 93% of the black vote). That will not be an issue in the western states like Nevada, Colorado or New Mexico where the black vote is small but that should put Ohio and Virginia back on the map... One fix of course would be to have Hilary as a candidate as that would increase democrats leads amongs women and the Clinton are generally well regarded amongst the black community...

As long as the republicans have to go to the right to win the primaries they will have trouble putting forward a candidate capable of winning the national election. One fix for them could be to move more moderate states ahead in the primaries to help moderate candidate win those.. ( having North Carolina so early kills moderates).  But generally I think going to the right is a mistake, in the end right wing folks will still vote for the republican candidate over the democrate and those you have to convince are the youngs and the latinos and the women, 3 groups that generally do not like right wing social ideas...

I am very liberal on social issues and more moderate on the economy but I have to admit I heard interesting things from republicans analysts today after the election.

They were commenting on the fact that republicans claim they are against big government but at the same time they are for it when it agrees with them and that is quite true.

If you don't want government to control so much of the economy, why would you want it to tell you who you can marry and or whether you can take contraceptives or not ? It does not make a lot of sense...


The republican party right now is a mess. Moving right is going to lose them elections, but so would avoiding the right if the Tea Party gains momentum again and splits up the party. If it wasn't for desperates actions by the Republican party, a great portion of voters would have moved to the Libertarian party or formed a new party, the Tea Party. The Republicans had a shot to repair their party with a president, now that's not happening so either time will heal them or they will figure out a solution. Otherwise they might end up in the same mess they were in these past 5 years.

The Democrats show no signs of a divide and having a two party system means whichever party doesn't have a schism will rule for a decent amount of time unhindered. That's the price to pay for turning mulit party since third parties will siphon voters from one party more than the other and it is highly unlikely more than one third party can rise up at the same time with voter attraction equally divide up between Republican and Democrat.

The world has dramatically changed over the last decade with the rise of the internet as the main source of communication. Generations have come to voting age and are far more likely to have liberal views that make it difficult to vote for conservative parties. The country is seeing an influx of minority groups and the baby boomers are entering their elderly years, eventually fading out. Political concepts are shifting, the country will no longer allow this back and forth two party system like they have for the last 80 years.



Before the PS3 everyone was nice to me :(