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greenmedic88 on 06 November 2012
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VGKing said:
Nem said:

Yes, but you realise that casuals dont buy many games and the attack rates will drop to 3DS levels right?

Heres hope that the Vita does well, i would love for that to happen since i enjoy my PSP. Sadly, it just isnt in the cards. it seems. Most portable games come from Japan. With the Japanese market this small, it is really just hopeful thinking keeping you optimistic. Next year the system dies, i dont see how it can be saved. This was the year for the Vita and Sony squandered it.
I dont share your view that the Vita will somehow sell alot more this christmas. With the WiiU out for a similar price, why would anyone go for a Vita? Not to mention 360/PS3 with much larger software offerings or the much cheaper 3DSXL with now a decent library of titles out for it.

Is this trend somehow gonna turn 180 with the release of CoD:D and christmas? I have my doubts. We shall see.


Everything gets a boost in the holidays. Even the dying(dead?) PSP and DS will.

Vita will most definitely get a huge boost as well. It's impossible for it to be selling less than 100k once the holildays really kick in.

Will the Vita turn a 180 and start outselling the 3DS? Of course not. But it will go from "dead" to "rising star".

Vita won't die. Plain and simple. Sony won't let it.

But there's still such a thing as hitting or missing sales projections. That's one thing that can't be fudged.

Sure, a significant chunk of annual sales occur in the final six weeks of the calendar year, but that's accounted for in the overall annual projections.

With the current limited back catalog and a few must buy titles coming up for the holidays, none of which are necessarily hardware sellers, I'm not predicting some sort of miraculous "beats estimates" sales figures.

Odds are, sales will pick up once the PSV gets that price drop a lot of potential buyers were expecting to happen this year. Say $199 for the WiFi and $249 for the 3G, assuming they even keep that SKU around. By the time that adjustment happens, the back catalog will look a lot more inviting to potential new customers and current holdouts waiting for the right time to buy. 

But going back to the OP, if sales in 2013 ARE less than those of 2012, even with the price drop and the improved catalog of games, then SCE will essentially be keeping the PSV on life support and they would probably be better off licensing out PSVita game compatibility with smartphones if they don't produce their own PSV compatible smartphone. 

At that point, it would be about keeping developers on board for the platform and selling software rather than selling game hardware.