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superchunk said:

I don't see how that comparison is possible. GC had a userbase of 1/4 of Wii and 1/3 of PS360 (individually).

I was comparing X360 (first out) to PS2 (leader of gen for core and overall). So here I'd compare WiiU to PS360 (individually as they are statistically equal). But even that is a tough comparison as WiiU has a stigma to overcome due to Nintendo's image/perception among the 18-25 male userbase.

Its going to take games like Bayonetta2 being made in a fashion that blows away current gen (thank fully it comes out before rest of next-gen) to make that group realize WiiU meets their worries head on and is a viable system. Next winter with rest of next-gen launching and WiiU's power really being shown off in comparison to this gen will be a true indicator if A) it will get proper 3rd party support and B) if some part of core gaming will jump on board or not.

Personally I'm only concerned with A.

Hey, I was being fair. You are the one who wanted to compare games to generation leader and I compared third place console to the most likely third place console. But don't worry, I will try a bit harder to please you.

Let's compare again:

PS2 CoD 2005:

http://www.vgchartz.com/game/4932/call-of-duty-2-big-red-one/

360 CoD 2005:

http://www.vgchartz.com/game/298/call-of-duty-2/

 

As we can clearly see, 360 sold 0.87m less than ps2 cod or 33% less than ps2 version. Going by your rules, Wii U version should do within 1 million of 360 version or with roughly 33% difference compared to 360 version. I can live with that comparison. With percentages and assuming CoD 360 will sell about 14m, Wii U version should do 9m. With actual sales numbers, Wii U version should do 13m.

Edited:

Got the percentages wrong.