2012 Election Center: The Main Event - Obama Wins

[Kasz216]

GameOver22 said:

Kasz216 said:

GameOver22 said:

Kasz216 said:

GameOver22 said:

 

A

I don't know. It seems like the national polls from 2008 were pretty accurate. On average, they overestimated Obama's share by 0.3% points.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/national.html

First off... the most obviouis... that list only shows 15 pollsters... not the full 23 mentioned in the accuracy reports.

Where's the accuracy report?

All i can find at the moment is the barebones one

http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/poll%20accuracy%20in%20the%202008%20presidential%20election.pdf

Well that and this one in regards to total accuracy

http://electoralmap.net/2012/2008_election.php

 

And I'd also note... the RCP averages don't actually match up with if you were to average the RCP numbers.  Not sure if they weight polls differently with MOE, or something else or what.